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Scary.
Three of Four Bush Supporters Still Believe in Iraqi WMD, al Qaeda Ties
(I know this is long, but I'm not cutting it.)
Some of the results (I've numbered the questions shown to make it easier to differentiate them):
Italics show answers I have extrapolated from the known data.
1. Combined total of people responding "yes" to both questions.
2. In August 2004, 66% of Bush supporters said he supported the ICC; after Bush explicitly denounced the ICC in the first debate of the campaign in late September, the number dropped to the current 53%.
The survey was conducted in mid-October by the University of Maryland’s Program on International Policy Attitudes (PIPA) and Knowledge Networks, a California-based polling firm. It polled the views of nearly 900 randomly chosen respondents equally divided between Bush supporters and those intending to vote for Democratic Sen. John Kerry.
Important to note:
(I know this is long, but I'm not cutting it.)
Some of the results (I've numbered the questions shown to make it easier to differentiate them):
| Iraq, WMD's, 9/11, and the Duelfer Report (percentage answering "yes") |
Bush Supporters |
Kerry Supporters |
| 1. Do you believe that Iraq had actual WMD? | 47% | 26%1 |
| 2. Do you believe that Iraq a major program for producing WMD? | 25% | 1 |
| 3. Do most experts currently believe Iraq a major program for producing WMD? | 56% | 18% |
| 4. Did the Duelfer Report conclude that Iraq had WMD? | 19% | N/A |
| 5. Did the Duelfer Report conclude that Iraq had a major WMD program? | 38% | N/A |
| 6. Was Iraq providing "substantial" support to Al Qaeda? | 75% | N/A |
| 7. Was Iraq directly involved in the 9/11 attacks? | 20% | N/A |
| 8. Has clear evidence of Iraq supporting al Qaeda been found? | 63% | 30% |
| 9. Have "most experts" reached the conclusion that Iraq supported al Qaeda? | 60% | 30% |
War (percentage answering "NO") |
Bush Supporters |
|
| 10. Should the U.S. have gone to war with Iraq if U.S. intelligence concluded that Baghdad did not have a WMD program and was not providing support to al Qaeda? | 58% | |
| 11. Would President Bush have gone to war with Iraq if U.S. intelligence concluded that Baghdad did not have a WMD program and was not providing support to al Qaeda? | 61% | |
Perceptions (percentage answering "yes") |
Bush Supporters |
Kerry Supporters |
| 12. The Bush administration is saying that Iraq either had WMD or major WMD programs. | 82% | 84% |
| 13. The Bush administration is saying that Iraq provided substantial support to the terrorist group al Qaeda. | 75% | 74% |
Bush and International Treaties (percentage answering "yes") |
Bush Supporters |
|
| 14. Does President Bush support the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty (CTBT)? | 69% | |
| 15. Does President Bush support the land mine treaty? | 72% | |
| 16. Does President Bush support the Kyoto Protocol to curb greenhouse gas emissions? | 51% | |
| 17. Does President Bush support the International Criminal Court (ICC)? 2 | 53% | |
World Opinion (percentage answering "yes") |
Bush Supporters |
Kerry Supporters |
| 18. Do people in foreign countries oppose the US having gone to war with Iraq? | ~30% | ~75% |
| 19. Are opinions in foreign countries evenly divided over the US having gone to war with Iraq? | 42% | N/A |
| 20. Do a majority of foreigners approve of the US having gone to war with Iraq? | 26% | N/A |
World Opinion on the Election (percentage answering "yes") |
Bush Supporters |
Kerry Supporters |
| 21. A majority of people outside the U.S. favor Bush for re-election. | 57% | 1% |
| 22. Foreign opinion is evenly divided over who should be the next US President. | 33% | ~30% |
| 23. A majority of people outside the U.S. favor Kerry in the election. | <10% | ~66% |
Italics show answers I have extrapolated from the known data.
1. Combined total of people responding "yes" to both questions.
2. In August 2004, 66% of Bush supporters said he supported the ICC; after Bush explicitly denounced the ICC in the first debate of the campaign in late September, the number dropped to the current 53%.
The survey was conducted in mid-October by the University of Maryland’s Program on International Policy Attitudes (PIPA) and Knowledge Networks, a California-based polling firm. It polled the views of nearly 900 randomly chosen respondents equally divided between Bush supporters and those intending to vote for Democratic Sen. John Kerry.
Important to note:
- The Duelfer Report, of course, found that that Hussein had dismantled all of his WMD programs shortly after the 1991 Gulf War and had never tried to reconstitute them.
- Hussein’s alleged support for al Qaeda was thoroughly debunked by the final report of the bipartisan 9/11 Commission.
- Majorities of Bush supporters surveyed in this poll said they favored the all international treaties mentioned in the survey.
- A steady flow over the past year of official statements by foreign governments and public-opinion polls shows strong opposition to the Iraq war.
- Polls conducted during the summer in 35 major countries around the world found that majorities or pluralities in 30 of them favored Kerry for president over Bush by an average of margin of greater than two to one.